Never underestimate the republican's ability to turn out their base, convincing them to vote against their own self interest by using
fear and
queers. First, let's look at the queers.
Eleven states in this years' election had anti-gay, "ban same-sex marriage" proposals. Now, we all know that gay marriage is not legal in any state, except Massachusetts (uh, by the way, every incumbent that supported gay marriage in that state was re-elected). And DOMA effectively makes it impossible for gays to have any recognition at the federal level. Yet, on the ballot they were. Ignoring this was a disaster for the democrats.
For example,
this paragraph from the New York times:
From state capitals to Capitol Hill, the Republicans made gains on Tuesday. Eleven state ballot initiatives to ban same-sex marriage passed easily, even in laid-back, live-and-let-live Oregon, and apparently inspired turnout that helped Mr. Bush. William J. Bennett, the former education secretary who has crusaded for moral values, noted in National Review Online that it was Ohio, which may well have lost more jobs under Mr. Bush than any other state, that gave him his electoral vote victory.
If you look at the
national exit polls from CNN about the 2004 elections, you see two things: a combined 83% of Bush supporters say "terrorism" and "morals" are the most important issues. As for Kerry supporters, here's the break-out of their biggest concerns: economy 80%, Iraq 73%, education 73% and health care 77%. Now, the issues important to Kerry supporters can be discussed using
logic and facts. The issues important to Bush supporters are strictly based on
emotion. It is impossible to counter and emotional stand with a logical, fact based argument. Why do you think these people want Evolution
out and Creationism
in?
So that all brings me to the
fear part of the Bush supporter. They were so afraid that Adam and Steve might actually be recognized as a couple in their state someday (because they weren't on November 1, 2004, that's for sure) that they voted against their own best interests. How many jobs have been lost in Ohio? How many people have actually benefited from Bushes tax cuts for billionaires? The fear of queers.
The fear of terrorism: terror is a feeling. The "war on terror" is a war on a feeling. Terrorism is a tactic. I've heard some say that fight a war on terrorism would be like us starting a war on sneak-attack-ism after Pearl Harbor. Pretty silly. But they hear Cheney saying that if the elect the wrong person, we'll be "hit and hit hard" and they see the multi-colored Homeland security banner (which, incidentally is one color strip away from being a GAY PRIDE FLAG for goodness sake) and Tom Ridge telling them to break out the duct tape and that terrorists will steal their crop dusters and poison their crops and the bought it.
Kerry supporters, when looking at the facts of Iraq, put it at the top of their list. Now, you tell me -- who's more "Moral"?? A President that would lie to Congress and the American People about the justification for war, or a Senator with a plan to get us out? I suppose if you are a Bush supporter, it's better to send our kids to fight and die.
From that CNN exit poll. 91% of Bush supporters think that a person's "religious faith" is the most important quality in a candidate. 91% of Kerry supporters think that intelligence should be the measure of a candidates. Religion is very
emotional. Intellect is very
logical. We are coming from two different worlds.
In order for the democrats to flip Congress in 2006 and retake the Whitehouse in 2008, we have to figure out how to do two things: 1) Find a way to appeal to the emotion of the moderate republican and 2) use our intellect to explain to them clearly that democratic values ARE their values.
An interesting side note. Tonight on NBC News, there was a story about a small town in Maine, Centerville, that is in effect "going bankrupt" because this small town has no jobs and and aging population. The tax base is disappearing and "there is more work to be done" that people to do it. Their property taxes will go down if they become "a ward of the state" and un-incorporate.
Centerville is in Washington County. The State of Maine might have been a "blue" state, but Washington County voted for Bush, 57% to 40%. They had an anti-gay amendment a few years ago, so it couldn't have been that. It must have been the fear of "terror" that motivated them, because they certainly didn't vote for the candidate with a fiscal policy that benefits any of them.